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Gundlach warns Treasury yield surge hints at potential Fed rate hike

March 19, 2026 11:21 AM EDT

Investing.com -- The U.S. two-year Treasury yield has climbed 50 basis points in less than three weeks, according to DoubleLine Capital’s Jeffrey Gundlach, who suggested the move could signal a Federal Reserve rate increase ahead.



"The 2 year U.S. Treasury yield has risen 50 basis points in less than three weeks. It now suggests one Fed HIKE may be coming," Gundlach wrote on X.


The two-year Treasury yield reached a high of 3.928% Thursday morning before pulling back to near 3.8%.


Fed fund futures are not pricing in much chance of a rate hike. However, odds of a rate cut this year have disappeared since the conflict with Iran drove up interest rates and began fueling investor concerns about inflation.


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