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Apple (AAPL): Downgraded to Underperform at RBC

January 15, 2009 8:43 AM EST
Get Alerts AAPL Hot Sheet
Price: $295.60 +0.44%

Rating Summary:
    45 Buy, 29 Hold, 7 Sell

Rating Trend: = Flat

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 4 | Down: 7 | New: 31
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From Notable Calls

RBC throwing in the towel in Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) downgrading the stock to Underperform from Sector Perform and lowering their tgt to $70 from $125.

They see a revaluation in Apple shares towards the market multiple, on reduced earnings growth expectations and near-term uncertainty re leadership.

Leadership Void. CEO Jobs' unexpected leave of absence raises near-term uncertainty re leadership. Jobs is widely viewed as Apple's chief innovator, dealmaker, leader, deeply involved in minute decisions, inextricably tied to Apple's brand. Jobs' being sidelined for 6 months or more and unavailable day-to-day -- with no clear successor -- in RBC's view raises risks to Apple's sustaining its stellar record of innovation going forward.

Declining Visibility to Growth. Proprietary data indicates further deterioration next 90 days in consumer electronics and Apple-related spending; January RBC IQ / Changewave survey data (3,500) shows only 28% of respondents planning to purchase a Mac laptop next 90 days, down from 33% Nov. Separately, 30% plan on buying iPhone 3G in Dec, down from 34% in Sept.

Lowering Financial Estimates, Q1 Preview. On deteriorating demand, F09 estimates become $36.2B rev and $5.00 EPS (prior $38.1B, $5.07). For Q1 (reporting Jan 21), they expect $9.8B rev (up 2% Y/Y) vs $9.9B street on 4.5M iPhones, 2.5M Macs, 20.4M iPods. GAAP EPS is expected at $1.48, vs. $1.39 street.

Notablecalls: Just wanted to let you know it's out there. No trade here, in my opinion (Even if there was one I probably wouldn't take it).

Also, note that RBC is the most negative firm out there this morning with other Tier-1 firms defending AAPL.


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